Has your study of probability changed your beliefs regarding the validity of sources that put forth “probable outcomes”?

GRADED DISCUSSION: If it’s probable, then why didn’t it happen? 1111 unread replies.1111 replies. BACKGROUND: There’s a major problem with probability: it doesn’t work very well. For example, common knowledge tells me that in a fair coin toss I have 50% odds of flipping heads and 50% odds of flipping tails. But flip a coin […]

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